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TEAM LIQUID vs VIKIN.GG DOTA 2 BETTING & MATCH DETAILS |
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Event: | Dota 2 – European DPC |
Dota 2 odds: | Liquid $1.48 at GG Bet | Vikin.gg $2.54 at GG Bet |
When: | January 19, 2021 at 18:00 CET |
Watch Live: | Twitch (https://www.twitch.tv/dreamleague) |
Vikin.gg and Team Liquid will clash in the opening fixture of DreamLeague Season 14 DPC EU Upper Division. This will mark their first meeting since November when Vikin.gg reverse-swept (2-1) Liquid during the EPIC League.
Team Liquid have since looked fairly solid and also enjoyed a decent run in November-December. However, they also had a few iffy showings, which we expect to see a more of in their first games of the year.
Vikin.gg usually do well against Team Liquid (4-1 in 2020), which is why we can’t quite agree with the betting odds. At $2.54, Vikin.gg are overpriced, which presents us with a great value bet.
MUDGOLEMS vs TEAM SECRET BETTING & MATCH DETAILS |
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Event: | Dota 2 – European DPC |
Dota 2 odds: | mudgolems $7.02 at GG Bet | Secret $1.08 at GG Bet |
When: | January 19, 2021 at 21:00 CET |
Watch Live: | Twitch (https://www.twitch.tv/dreamleague) |
Assuming The International 10 would have happened, it’s hard to imagine any team other than Team Secret lifting the Aegis of Champions, simply due to their superb form throughout 2020. That, however, was not as apparent towards the end of the season, when Secret started to slump.
What’s more, Team Secret have not played an official match since the second week of December, meaning they’re entering the DreamLeague a bit ring rusty. Mudgolems have played six games during that stretch, which includes three games from last week and while they were not particularly successful, mudgolems are at least not entering this match cold.
At $7.02, esports betting sites suggest mudgolems have only about 14.2% chance of winning which is way too low. They have forced Secret to three maps in their last meeting and there is nothing that would suggest mudgolems can’t do it again.
Vikin.gg and Alliance will meet for the fourth time this year when they lock horns in the opening round of the OMEGA League Europe Immortal Division lower bracket playoffs on Wednesday.
Formed just under a year ago, Vikin.gg have enjoyed a rapid climb up the rankings. They have attended 13 Tier 3 tournaments in 2020 and won eight of them, while they managed top-three finishes in four of the other five. Although Vikin.gg have seen less success in Tier 2 events, they’ve still made their presence known.
Across the last three months, Melchior “Seleri” Hillenkamp and co. produced a runner-up finish at OMG Cup 3, went top eight at OGA Dota PIT 2020 Online Europe/CIS, ESL One Birmingham 2020 Online Europe & CIS and OGA Dota PIT S2 Europe/CIS, and ran fifth-sixth at BEYOND EPIC Europe/CIS. Now, they’re guaranteed to lock in at least a top-eight finish in the highest division of the OMEGA League, with another podium placing within their reach as they look to fight their way through the lower bracket.
Vikin.gg came through the group stage with a solid 3-2 record that tied them with back-to-back The International champions OG, although they had to settle for third place due to their -1 map differential. Seleri and his team produced 2-1 victories against FlyToMoon, Ninjas in Pyjamas and Team Liquid, but they lost to Team Secret (0-2) and OG (1-2).
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The man to watch for Vikin.gg is the 20-year-old Dutch carry Indji “Shad” Lub, who has developed into a promising prospect with a 7.05 KDA, 295.04 LH and 14.87 DN across 358 games. That achievement becomes even more impressive when we take into consideration that Shad had never played Dota 2 esports professionally before joining the Romanian organisation in September 2019.
Standing in Vikin.gg’s way this Wednesday will be Alliance, who are best known for winning The International 2013. Although they have not scaled those heights since, the Swedish team are still regarded as one of the strongest in Europe.
Alliance have managed a few noteworthy results since the turn of the year, including a fourth-place finish at the Leipzig Major and silver medals from StarLadder ImbaTV Dota 2 Minor Season 3, ESL One Birmingham 2020 and OGA Dota PIT S2. Gustav “s4” Magnusson and co. also had a shot at a podium finish at BEYOND EPIC Europe/CIS, but they were stopped in their tracks by none other than Vikin.gg in the first round of the lower bracket.
If we compare the teams’ form, it’s Vikin.gg who look to be better prepared for this bout with a 7-2 record since the start of August compared to Alliance’s 3-3. It’s worth noting that four of Vikin.gg’s wins came from the OMEGA League Europe Closed Qualifier, where they took down Cyberium Seed (2-0), Team Unique (2-1), Team Empire (2-1) and HellRaisers (2-0). Even excluding those results, they showed a bit more than Alliance throughout the OMEGA League group stage.
Vikin.gg have won two of their three clashes with Alliance this season. The Swedes claimed a 2-1 victory at ESL One Los Angeles 2020 in April, lost the next bout 1-2 at OGA Dota PIT S1 in May, then scored a 2-0 sweep at BEYOND EPIC just before the break.
Even though the head-to-head record favours Vikin.gg, they enter this match as underdogs. Alliance looked very solid in their recent victories against Natus Vincere (2-1) and FlyToMoon (2-1), while Vikin.gg’s last game took place over a week ago.
Regardless, Alliance offer no value in the betting. All the form lines point towards Vikin.gg, so we will take our chances with the underdogs.
Vikin.gg and B8 are slated to meet on the 11th day of ESL One Los Angeles Dota2 Online, which will mark each side’s sixth fixture of the tournament and their first-ever meeting in the competitive arena.
Vikin.gg have enjoyed a solid start to their ESL One LA venture, having picked up three wins in the opening five rounds. While their displays against Gambit (2-0) and Cyber Legacy (2-1) were promising, the 2-1 victory over the reigning TI champions, OG, will go down as one of the biggest Dota2 upsets in 2020. However, the Romanian squad did not see the same success against CIS squads HellRaisers (0-2) and Virtus.pro (0-2) in rounds two and four.
The biggest question is how and where we rank Vikin.gg. There is no denying this is a B-Tier team at most, but they are very strong in their weight class and have shown they can match it with some of the world’s best Dota 2 esports teams.
Indji “Shad” Lub, Miroslav “BOOM” Bi?an, Tobias “Tobi” Buchner, Adam “Aramis” Moroz and Melchior “Seleri” Hillenkamp have already seen a lot of success in minor tournaments throughout 2020. In January, they picked up a third-place finish at the Hainan Master Spring Invitational – Europe Qualifier, made it to the finals of OMG.BET Cup 2, and won Hot Price League Season 1 while losing only one map. That form continued into March when Vikin.gg hoisted titles at Winter Madness, Hot Price League Season 2 and GGBET Championship 2.
While those are far from top-tier tournaments, it’s hard to ignore Vikin.gg’s impressive 24-3 record since the start of March. Prior to ESL One Los Angeles, their only loss in that run came against Aggressive Mode (0-2) in the SIGUL Pro League.
B8 have had a far less successful run through the opening stages of ESL One LA. While they claimed a 2-1 win over HellRaisers, Danil “Dendi” Ishutin’s team fell flat against Cyber Legacy (1-2), OG (1-2), Nigma (0-2) and Gambit (0-2). Although 1-4 record is nothing to write home about, their three-map series against OG is something B8 can look at with pride.
B8’s preparation was less than ideal, as the newly established CIS squad failed to secure top-four finishes at the ESL One Los Angeles 2020 CIS Open Qualifier, WePlay! Dota 2 Tug of War: Mad Moon, Arena of Blood and WeSave! Charity Play – EU & CIS. Since Dendi formed his team on January 27, 2020, they have produced only five wins in 21 outings.
Esports bookmakers have Vikin.gg priced as heavy favourites, which is no surprise. Having said that, we must take into consideration that ESL One LA is an online tournament, where underdogs tend to have a much greater chance to shine.
That does not necessarily mean we can count on B8 to win, as they clearly need to make a couple of roster swaps if they wish to find any stability with their results. However, it’s still fair to expect B8 can pick up at least one map.
B8’s prospects are heavily dependent on the performance of owner-captain Dendi, who, on his best day, can take over any match. Although he is not playing at the same elite level as he once did, Vikin.gg are also not the same calibre of team Dendi is used to playing against.
We are counting on Dendi to deliver. B8 picked up maps against HellRaisers, Cyber Legacy and OG, which suggests they are more than capable of doing the same against Vikin.gg.