Guild Esports re-signed William “draken” Sundin to their Valorant roster at the end of June and have since secured two victories against BK ROG Esports (2-0) and FunPlus Phoenix (2-1). Those are also Guild’s only two games since late April when the British esports organisation competed in VCT 2021: EMEA Stage 2 Challengers Finals.

BDS Esports entered the Valorant esports scene in April with an all-French roster and have since played 15 official matches, winning all but four. Although an impressive record, BDS haven’t won against a top-tier opponent since their debut fixture against Ninjas in Pyjamas (2-1).

There isn’t a lot to set these two teams apart. Even though Guild have more experience playing at a higher level, they have only two games on their record since the start of May. BDS might be less experienced, but they have at least been active in July and are in great form.

Fnatic suffered a devastating 0-2 loss against tier arch-rivals G2 Esports at the start of the month but quickly bounced back with a 2-1 victory against Wave Esports on Friday. They’re now 8-4 since the start of May, which includes a solid 5-2 run in Reykjavik, where Fnatic lost to Sentinels (0-3) in the finals.

Team Liquid have managed a 6-2 record since the start of May, with losses to Version1 (1-2) and Fnatic (0-2), who beat them in the lower bracket of Masters Reykjavik. Liquid have since won two games against Team Finest (2-0) and Alliance (2-1).

Fnatic enter this match priced as underdogs, which makes sense since they haven’t impressed anyone with their loss to G2 and a narrow win against Wave Esports. However, they shouldn’t be priced as high as $2.20 against a team that is struggling in the current meta.