Everything is set for the grand finals of the United Masters League, where we will see Copenhagen Flames take on Sprout in what promises to be a thrilling bout between two sides who have met only once before.
Sprout enter the series as the team to beat, having shown they are one of the best B-Tier teams with their strong run throughout the UM. While they have had their ups and downs, they have delivered when it mattered.
The Germans started UM League Season 2 strong by pocketing a forfeit from Team Ancient and a commanding 2-0 win over Illuminar Gaming but then hit a wall with losses to forZe and ARCY. Nonetheless, Timo “Spiidi” Richter and co. rallied in game five and reverse swept Giants Gaming to punch their ticket for the playoffs.
In the playoffs of UM, Sprout romped to a 2-0 win over their compatriots BI and earned a hard-fought victory against HAVU in a three-game series which ended in overtime.
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Sprout have played two competitive matches since their clash with HAVU. Both took place at DreamHack Open Leipzig 2020, where they ran out of steam and got handed two humiliating defeats against North (4-16) and Heroic (0-2) to finish the qualifiers in seventh-eighth place.
Copenhagen Flames ended the United Masters League regular season as the fifth seed. They defeated YaLLa Esports and ARCY in the opening two fixtures, lost 0-2 loss to BIG in game three and won 2-0 against GamerLegion in game four.
In the quarter-finals, the Danes defeated ARCY for the second time this season and booked a meeting with the tournament favourites, forZe. The semi-final bout went to the wire, but Asger “AcilioN” Larsen and his squad came out on top after winning the third map of the series 22-20.
After their win against forZe, Copenhagen Flames participated in a Danish CS:GO event, Coolshop Geeks Gone Wild #25, where they defeated AGF Esport twice to pocket the title and cement themselves as the fifth-best Danish CS:GO esports team. While all the CPH Flames players performed well in the grand finals, Magnus “Nodios” Olsen and Asger “farlig” Jensen stood out with 1.66 and 1.55 rating averages respectively.
Neither team has made any changes since their last UM League fixtures, with the latest changes being the arrival of Tomá? “oskar” ??astny and Pawe? “dycha” Dycha to Sprout earlier this month. Copenhagen Flames made their last roster change in November 2019, when they signed René “TeSeS” Madsen. CPH also let go of their strategic coach, Philip “tekziNz” Karsb?l, earlier this month.
The two sides have not met since July 2019, when Copenhagen Flames swept Sprout at the Games Clash Masters 2019 – European Qualifier. That result can’t be taken into consideration when predicting this match, however, because the teams are fielding completely different rosters this time out.
Sprout will enter this match with a 2-3 record in their last five, while Copenhagen Flames are 3-2 in the same span of matches. However, it’s worth noting Sprout played stronger teams, meaning we can assume neither side holds a significant form advantage over the other. Both teams are averaging a 1.11 player rating across the tournament, so there is nothing to separate them in that aspect either.
Even the map pools and map win rates look fairly similar. Copenhagen Flames hold a slight edge with their four-map winning streak on Train (75%), where Sprout have won 57% of their matches. Sprout’s best maps are Overpass (62%) and Mirage (64%), where Copenhagen Flames hold onto a 56% and 44% win rate respectively.
We believe this match will be closer than what the esports bookmakers would have us believe. While we can agree Sprout are the favourites, Copenhagen Flames should win at least one map, meaning we can expect the series to go the distance.
Prediction:
CSGO betting odds: Sprout $1.51 at GG Bet | HAVU $2.42 at GG Bet
CSGO betting lines: Sprout -1.5 at $2.42 | HAVU +1.5 at $1.51
When: January 22, 2020 at 16:00 CET
Watch live: Twitch
The semi-finals of United Masters League Season 2 will kick off this Wednesday with a clash between Sprout and HAVU.
Both have taken turbulent roads through the tournament, yet they showed up when it mattered. Sprout decimated BIG in the quarter-finals, while HAVU edged past Illuminar Gaming.
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Sprout have had a very busy month, as they were forced to make some roster changes after the departure of Florian “syrsoN” Rische and Nils “k1to” Gruhne to BIG. Pawe? “dycha” Dycha and Tomá? “oskar” ??astny came in as replacements, although there was some uncertainty around both signings.
In their match against BIG, Sprout secured a comfortable 16-11 win on Dust II thanks to incredible performances from Josef “faveN” Baumann and Denis “denis” Howell, who averaged 1.14 and 1.62 ratings respectively. On BIG’s side, no player besides syrsoN (1.44) ended the first map with a positive rating.
Vertigo was a much more even contest that went all the way to 42 rounds, but it was Sprout who came out on top yet again. This time it was their IGL Timo “Spiidi” Richter who shook everyone with his 1.33 rating, outperforming the likes of faveN (1.11), Johannes “tabseN” Wodarz (1.23) and syrsoN (1.17).
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HAVU failed to see much success in their opening three fixtures of the UM League. They lost to forZe and Aristocracy but defeated Hard Legion, which left their chances of advancing into the playoffs hanging by a thread. Nonetheless, HAVU stepped up when it counted and bested Team Ancient and GamerLegion to punch their ticket for the second stage of the tournament.
In the quarter-finals, HAVU met with Illuminar in what we predicted to be a bloody fight for survival, and it proved to be exactly that. Illuminar started the series by picking Overpass, where bested HAVU 16-13, but failed to see the same success on Train, where they set themselves up nicely to seal the series but dropped the ball and let HAVU catch up and win the map 19-16 in overtime.
On Nuke, the teams went back and forth, and it seemed like the match could end either way. That said, HAVU stars Joonas “doto” Forss and Lasse “ZOREE” Uronen showed up big time and carried their team to a victory, putting up 1.46 and 1.43 ratings respectively.
Since their clash with Illuminar, HAVU made an appearance at DreamHack Open Anaheim 2020 Europe Open and Closed Qualifiers. They made it through the open qualifiers, where they defeated MELBET and Team Spirit, but fell flat in the closed qualifiers against GODSENT.
Sprout and HAVU have not met since the ESEA S31 Premier Division – Europe regular season in May 2019, where HAVU won 16-14. That said, a lot has changed since, so we can’t take that result into account in this prediction.
Since May, HAVU have signed doto and appointed a new head coach in Taneli “diSTURBED” Veikkola. Sprout, meanwhile, have signed four new members in denis, oskar, dycha, and Niclas “enkay J” Krumhorn as head coach.
Sprout might be favourites with most esports betting sites, but we can’t agree with the odds. Against BIG we saw the new arrivals oskar and dycha struggling to keep up, having finished the series with 0.98 and 0.99 ratings respectively. The only reason Sprout won on that day was the impressive play of Spiidi and denis.
That Spiidi and denis have averaged 0.98 and 0.95 ratings over the past three months suggests they simply had a day out against BIG. The question is whether they can repeat that form in the semis.
This bout won’t be as one-sided as the odds suggest. Expect all three maps to be played, as neither side showed enough in the earlier rounds to make us believe they are capable of a clean sweep.
Prediction: Over 2.5 maps – $2.07 at GG Bet
]]>Everything is set for the final quarter-finals fixture at United Masters League (UM), where we will see forZe take on their compatriots Hard Legion Esports (HL) in their first meeting since HL’s inception in October 2019.
ForZe are entering the quarter-finals as the alpha dogs of the tournament, having finished the regular season with a perfect 3-0 record, which they achieved with clean sweeps against HAVU Gaming, Giants Gaming and Sprout. While their record is impressive on its own, forZe also finished the group stage with +26 round difference. Since their last appearance in UM, back in November, when forZe bested Sprout (2-0), the Russians participated in five tournaments. On the same day as their clash with Sprout, forZe also played Aristocracy at SECTOR:MOSTBET, where they lost 0-2 and ended the tournament at the seventh-eighth place.
Shortly after, forZe appeared at DreamHack Open Winter, where they started slow with a defeat against Tricked Esport, but soon found their stride and bested the likes of MARSKALK, GODSENT and avenged their defeat against Tricked to claim the title and $50,000 in tournament winnings. The Russian outfit kept their fire going into December and defeated HAVU in the finals of the ESEA S32: Premier Division – Europe Finals, to which they added another title-winning run at ESEA S32: Global Challenge.
After their incredible run through DreamHack Open Winter and ESEA, forZe entered EPICENTER 2019, which was their first S-Tier tournament since Berlin Major back in August. Going against all the odds, forZe defeated Virtus.pro and Evil Geniuses in the group stage, which secured them a spot in the playoffs, where their Cinderella story came to an end, as they dropped the match against Heroic and finished the tournament at the fifth-sixth spot.
While forZe were making waves in the European CS:GO esports scene, Hard Legion were fighting for survival at UM. Following their disastrous start of the season, where they lost to Giants (1-2) and HAVU (0-2), HL pocketed a forfeit win against ex-Windigo Gaming, to which they added two wins against GODSENT (2-1) and ex-Virtus.pro (2-0).
With three wins under their belt, HL secured the sixth spot on the standing and a ticket leading into the playoffs, where they are now set to clash with their toughest opponents of the season. Since their win against ex-Virtus.pro roster in December, HL made an appearance at Champions Cup Finals, IEM Katowice 2020 Europe Open Qualifier #2 and Great Universe Cup.
At Champions Cup, HL crashed out of the group stage after suffering two humiliating defeats against G2 Esports and Team Spirit but saw more success at IEM Katowice qualifiers. There they bested Unicorns of Love, Melbet Team and water gamers, however, failed to impress in the finals, where they lost to AGO (5-16, 10-16). Just recently HL also won their opening match at Great Universe Cup against a C-Tier stack EL’quvet.
ForZe most recent major change to their squad came in August, when they appointed Anatoliy “liTTle” Yashin as their coach, while HL decided to bench Anton “speed4k” Titov at the start of the month. He got replaced by Dmitry “rAge” Bolotov who is currently a trial member.
HL and forZe have not met before as organizations, however, we did see DreamEaters (roster was later signed by HL) defeat forZe (2-0) at Berlin Major, which would suggest HL have a legitimate chance of winning here. That said, HL’s poor form failed to convince us they are capable of such feat and the fact that their new signing played only five games with the team doesn’t help their cause either.
To date, rAge has played five fixtures for HL and averaged 1.05 Rating. His best performance came at IEM Katowice Europe open qualifier, where he averaged 1.45 Rating against water eaters, while his worst performance (0.45) came in the finals of the same tournament, where HL lost to AGO.
Both sides are entering this bout with a 3-2 record in their last five, however, it’s worth noting forZe have played significantly stronger teams compared to HL and considering they bested the likes of EG and Virtus.pro makes us believe they should have a fairly easy time defeating HL as well.
Illuminar and HAVU are set to face off this Wednesday in the United Masters League quarter-finals, which will mark their first meeting of the tournament and the year.
Illuminar had a fairly successful run through the regular season, where they won three out of four fixtures played to finish as fourth seed and earn an early ticket for the playoffs. They bested ex-Windigo Gaming roster, Team Ancient and Virtus.pro but suffered an upset defeat against Sprout back in November during round two.
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Illuminar’s last fixture in the UM League came in early December when they bested Virtus.pro 2-0. Since then, the Polish outfit have played five fixtures and won three. Shortly after their win against Virtus.pro, Illuminar clinched the title at WESG 2019 East Europe by besting ARCY (2-1) in the semis and AGO (2-1) in the grand finals.
Illuminar failed to see the same success at DreamHack Open Sevilla 2019, where they crashed out of the contest in the group stage. They also fell flat in European qualifying for IEM Katowice 2020, crashing out of the lower bracket with a 2-1 defeat to MAD Lions.
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Unlike many other CS:GO esports teams, Illuminar have not made any changes to their roster in recent months. Their last personnel change came in July 2019 when they picked up the x-kom Team roster, which is still intact.
HAVU started their UM League venture with a 0-2 defeat against forZe in round one, to which they added a win against Hard Legion Esports and a loss to Aristocracy in round three. After a very shaky start, HAVU found their stride and won both round four and five against Ancient and GamerLegion respectively to edge their way into the playoffs.
Shortly after punching their ticket for the playoffs, HAVU appeared at the ESEA Season 32: Premier Division – Europe Finals, where they lost to forZe (0-3) once more. In the next couple of days, HAVU also appeared at the ESEA S32: Global Challenge, where they lost to Riot Squad Esports in the semi-finals and finished third-fourth.
HAVU also claimed a third-place finish at LOOT.BET/CS Season 5 and just recently finished fourth at SECTOR: MOSTBET, where they made it to the playoffs and defeated forZe and ARCY before losing to GODSENT in the lower bracket finals.
Since HAVU’s last UM League fixture against Virtus.pro, they have played 11 fixtures and won six. While that is a solid record, it’s worth noting half of those wins came against significantly weaker teams in ESPADA, SKADE, Triumph.
The head-to-head record clearly favours HAVU, who are 3-0 in their last three meetings with Illuminar. Their last clash came in early November during the ESEA S32: Premier Division – Europe regular season, while the remaining two took place in August at LOOT.BET/CS Season 3.
HAVU are 2-3 in their last five games, while Illuminar are 1-4. That being said, we have to take into account Illuminar played against significantly stronger teams in their recent matches. Their last three defeats came against ENCE (1-2), GODSENT (1-2) and MAD Lions (1-2) in IEM Katowice qualifying, while HAVU lost to the likes of AGO (0-2) and Winstrike (1-2).
Another thing worth noting is that Illuminar’s players are posting significantly higher tournament ratings than HAVU, with their average showing 1.16 compared to 0.99.
Illuminar are much stronger than the odds would lead us to believe, yet we still have our doubts whether the Polish outfit will be able to break their losing streak. Both teams have a legitimate chance of winning, but we don’t believe either is capable of a clean sweep.
Prediction: Over 2.5 maps – $2.01 at GG Bet
]]>Berlin International Gaming (BIG) and Sprout will lock horns this Monday, in the United Masters League quarter-finals, which will be a must-watch fixture for any CS:GO betting fan, as two of the strongest German squads go face to face in a bid to establish their dominance.
Earlier this month, BIG announced some major changes to their team, as they parted ways with Owen “smooya” Butterfield and removed Johannes “nex” Maget from the active lineup. Furthermore, coach Nikola “LEGIJA” Nini? left the organization after three years and got replaced by Fatih “gob b” Dayik as their new Head of CS:GO. While all major changes for BIG, the most important roster moves were the onsets of Florian “syrsoN” Rische and Nils “k1to” Gruhne, who were both previously members of Sprout. The arrival of two German CS:GO players, while controversial in its own regard, was not shocking, considering they were both heavily linked with this move back in December 2019.
Although it was initially believed BIG plan was to create an all-German roster, Ismailcan “XANTARES” D?rtkarde? managed to retain his spot in the team. The 24-year old Turk has been averaging 1.15 Rating over the last three months, which suggests he is a solid player and that there is no reason to replace him, yet we can’t help but wonder how does he fit in with the “all-German” roster, which would understandably have a significantly easier time talking in team coms. That is, however, our only concern with BIG, who overall look like a very solid team. They might not be up there with the likes of Astralis, Team Liquid or Evil Geniuses, however, they should still be more than capable of causing some damage in A-Tier tournaments and ultimately reclaim the throne as the best German team back from Sprout.
Following the departure of k1to and syrsoN in December, Sprout were left with a massive void in their roster, which they managed to partially fill by signing the former ARCY rifler Pawe? “dycha” Dycha and former HellRaisers AWPer Tomá? “oskar” ??astny. While both solid additions, Sprout lost some quality with the departure of the German duo. On a more positive note, Sprout managed to keep ahold of their core trio Timo “Spiidi” Richter, Denis “denis” Howell and Josef “faveN” Baumann, which is a plus. That being said, they will need to step up with their performances, seeing how faveN is the only player with a positive rating (1.04), while both Spiidi (0.98) and denis (0.94) put up below-average numbers in recent months.
Last season, Sprout won The WinterNational at DreamHack Leipzig 2019 in February and ESL Meisterschaft: Winter 2019 in December. They also claimed silver medals at a handful of B-Tier and A-Tier events, including Charleroi Esports 2019 in April, Games Clash Masters 2019 in September and DreamHack Open Atlanta 2019 in November. 2019 was possibly the best season Sprout had in their history, but due to the departure of two key players in January, we believe Sprout will struggle to see the same success in 2020.
As the odds suggest, BIG will enter this bout as the heavy favourites, which is not surprising. They boast the better quality players and have three former Sprout members on their team, which will without a doubt give them an edge. That being said, the question is whether BIG can produce a clean sweep. There is a solid chance we could see that happen, yet we have to consider this will be a match between two rivals, where we rarely see one side completely dominating the other. Both teams made a few changes to their roster and considering the new arrivals have not had a chance to settle in their new teams just yet, we can’t expect either side to play to their full potential.
With that in mind, we believe a bet on over 2.5 maps is the best option here. Sprout, while significantly weaker compared to last season still have enough quality to win at least one map, as we can’t really make ourselves believe BIG will be as dominant as predicted so early into the season.
Monday, December 2 – 14:00 CET
After losing their bout with Aristocracy in round three, HAVU ($1.43) will look for blood as they face an objectively weaker side in Team Ancient ($2.56).
HAVU opened their United Masters League campaign with a crushing 0-2 defeat against forZe but managed to bounce back with a dominant 2-0 win against Hard Legion Esports (2-0) in round two. Unfortunately, the Finns failed to keep the momentum alive, as they had to admit defeat to Aristocracy less than two weeks later.
With that, HAVU now sit 13th in the league with a 1-2 record, which is not a very promising sight for a team that was aiming to reach the playoffs. That is not to say they have lost the opportunity to do so, but they cannot afford to slip up against Team Ancient this Monday.
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TA are also in a spot of bother, although they have only played one match thus far. In round one they forfeited their match against Sprout and in round two they had a walkover against ex-Windigo. Their first and only real match came in round three, where Ancient lost 1-2 to Illuminar in a reverse sweep.
Ancient’s poor performances are a direct byproduct of their issues with assembling a roster, which has seen players come and go too frequently in recent months.
Team Ancient enter this bout priced very generously, but we believe the odds are on point. Due to their inability to field a stable roster, we don’t trust TA to spring an upset.
Prediction: HAVU to win – $1.43 at GG Bet
Monday, December 2 – 17:00 CET
GamerLegion ($1.50) enter their fourth fixture of the tournament priced as heavy favourites to defeat Copenhagen Flames ($2.36).
Copenhagen started their United Masters League venture strong, producing two dominant 2-0 wins against YaLLa Esports and Aristocracy. Unfortunately, the Danes were stopped in their tracks last round, when they suffered a crushing 0-2 defeat against BIG.
In that match the Flames severely underperformed on Inferno (10-16) and failed to produce much resistance on Mirage (13-16). The result was no great surprise, however, as BIG are one of the strongest teams in the tournament.
GamerLegion started their campaign with a 1-2 loss to Aristocracy but bounced back to beat YaLLa 2-0 and Giants Gaming 2-1. In their fixture against Giants, GamerLegion severely underperformed on Nuke (10-16) but managed to gain traction on Overpass (16-3) and Dust II (16-5) to produce the most dominant reverse sweep of the tournament.
GamerLegion and Copenhagen Flames met two times in the WePlay! Forge of Masters Season 2: Online Stage at the start of October, where GL won twice. However, the Germans have undergone some roster changes since then and have visibly declined in quality.
GL have won only six of their last 15 games. They started as favourites for several of those defeats, most notably in their 0-2 loss to Hard Legion at the European Champions Cup.
While we can’t praise Copenhagen Flames too much for their recent performances, they should at least chip one map off an out-of-sorts GamerLegion side.
Prediction: Copenhagen Flames +1.5 – $1.50 at GG Bet
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