?Chiefs Esports Club made it into the LCO Split 1 Playoffs as the fifth seed, finishing the regular season with a 7-7 record. They’ve done against lower-table teams, but we have yet to see Chiefs put up any meaningful resistance against top dogs such as Dire Wolves, PEACE and Pentanet.gg.

ORDER managed a slightly better 8-6 record and ended the regular season with an impressive win against PEACE, yet the latest LoL betting odds price them as underdogs. Chiefs did not do anything of note in the last two weeks of the season, so it is hard to understand how they are favourites.

Chiefs might have a higher ceiling, but the form they’ve been showing recently doesn’t convince us they’re worth a shot at $1.62. We’re taking the plus money.

?Even though winning a best-of-one (Bo1) is not the same as winning a Bo5, it does not make much sense to have PEACE priced as favourites against Dire Wolves. These sides met last Saturday in a LCO Split 1 tiebreaker match which ended in favour of Dire Wolves, who are now 2-1 in the head-to-head in 2021.

While some may argue PEACE deserved to win last time out as they were in the lead for most of the game, there is no denying Wolves had better macro play. We would even go so far as to say Wolves were never in real danger of losing, largely thanks to their drake control.

Although Wolves’ win on Saturday does not guarantee them success here, they’re definitely worth a bet at better than even money. They have already shown they can compete with PEACE, and as long as they can avoid giving up too much in the early game, the outsiders should come out ahead.

?After losing their entire team in November, Legacy Esports rebuilt their roster with local talent who have yet to impress three weeks into LoL Circuit Oceania (LCO) Split 1. In eight games played, Legacy’s only two wins have come against ORDER and MAMMOTH.

Gravitas enter the penultimate week of LCO Split 1 on a six-game losing streak that commenced right after their narrow victory against Legacy in February. That form might suggest that Legacy should claim a revenge win on Tuesday, but the quality gap between these two sides is not nearly as big as the odds imply.

Gravitas have been holding on well in most of their games but seem unable to snowball their leads, which has cost them a couple of wins. That said, it’s not like Legacy are much more effective in closing down games, so you have to take Gravitas at higher odds.

?There is no denying that ORDER (4-4) have been doing much better than MAMMOTH (1-7) this split. MAMMOTH’s poor early-game is their biggest weakness, as it is extremely difficult to fight back from behind in the current meta. ORDER have thrown away leads a couple of times this split, but they rarely drop the ball against weaker sides.

Betting on ORDER makes little to no sense to us at this price, especially in such a volatile league. Instead, we like the favourites to secure the first blood, which they have done in 75% of their games so far, largely thanks to their aggressive jungler William “Vengeance” Blackmore.

?These teams last met in February when PEACE needed just south of 42 minutes to seal the deal with 19-13 in kills and a 5.8k gold lead. Both sides have since played six games and won four, both losing only to Pentanet.gg and Dire Wolves.

One thing to take away from Chiefs Esports Club’s performances this season is that they either completely dominate their opponents or lose very badly; there seems to be in-between with this squad. PEACE are very different in that they rarely pick up commanding wins, but they also rarely lose with huge margins.

Due to their 50/50 playstyle and the fact that they are comparable with PEACE quality-wise, Chiefs should have a legitimate chance to win here. The only thing that slightly concerns us is Matthew Lionel “Mboma” Desa’s champions pool, which doesn’t include meta ADC champions such as Kai’sa and Jinx. That said, he has a good vacuum pick into meta ADCs in Hemierdinger, which he can use to shut down PEACE’s main win condition.