With their loss against T1 on Wednesday, Kwangdong Freecs are eliminated from the LCK 2024 Summer playoff race. They have had some good series throughout the split but fell off towards the end, consistently coming up short in more challenging games.

DRX were cut from chasing playoffs long ago and have not given us many reasons to feel excited about them. On Wednesday, they suffered their fourth consecutive loss against KT Rolster, failing to show any improvements in critical areas — namely their macro.

This is a clash between two teams with nothing left to fight for. But even if we consider that a win or a loss for Kwangdong Freecs doesn’t mean much, they are a far better side and a solid bet at $2.10 to sweep with top LoL betting sites.

Nongshim RedForce took down T1 on Friday and added a solid showing against Dplus KIA at the end of LCK 2024 Summer Week 8. While those are excellent results on paper, T1 and Dplus KIA played terribly, so we can not praise RedForce too much.

Gen.G seemed unstoppable until last week, when they fell to KT Rolster in a competitive three-map series. Although it was a painful defeat, the defending champions were far from disgraced.

Nongshim RedForce made their presence known last week, but they are still a bottom-tier team who will crumble against Gen.G. And knowing RedForce tend to get run over in their losses, taking under 23.5 kills for the opening map is a wise choice.

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The rule with KT Rolster is to fade them as big favourites and back them as underdogs. However, betting against Gen.G looks like a sure way to lose, as they are on a 15-game winning streak in league play and have yet to drop a series in the LCK 2024 Summer.

KT Rolster are $7.40 underdogs, which gives them just a 13.5% implied probability of winning the series. This is incredibly low, but considering their showings against Kwangdong Freecs and OKSavingsBank BRION over the last two rounds, it is fair to question KT’s chances to defeat the hottest team in the league.

Gen.G are efficient in running over teams that do not do well in the early game, which we should see in effect on Friday. And with side choice, the LCK title favourites will likely close out the first map without spilling too much blood.

T1 seem to have stabilised over the last two weeks and put themselves in a good position to defeat Gen.G on Saturday. The game ended in a crushing 0-2 loss, but it was a significant improvement and T1 should have won the first map.

Nongshim RedForce are the opposite in terms of where they’re trending. RedForce’s quality has fallen over the season, with some glaring issues — namely their abysmal early game.

Nongshim RedForce should have done much better — but not by much, as this squad is still low on individual quality. This series should end in a comfortable victory for T1, and knowing RedForce usually get smoked in losses, taking kill unders on both maps at $1.86 with LoL betting sites makes a lot of sense.

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Nongshim RedForce took a map from KT Rolster on Sunday but still lost, marking their third defeat over a four-game stretch. Now, at 3-9, Nongshim RedForce likely will not see the playoffs, and there is little to suggest their run through LCK 2024 Summer will improve significantly.

Hanwha Life Esports’ seven-game winning streak came to a screeching stop on Wednesday when they were humiliated by KT Rolster. While that loss did sting, it does not suggest HLE are in danger of losing to Nongshim RedForce.

KT Rolster punished Hanwha Life Esports’ counter-punching playstyle, which Nongshim RedForce, with their macro, shouldn’t be able to do. With an average of 15.7 deaths per game, Nongshim will struggle to keep this game close.

Kwangdong Freecs lost all four series in the previous two weeks of LCK action, going down to OKSavingsBank BRION, Gen.G and twice to Hanwha Life Esports. The latter two are not that worrying, but Kwangdong Freecs have not looked very competitive in any of their games since the start of the split.

Dplus KIA lost another close game on Wednesday against T1, continuing a trend of playing exceptionally well only to fall short. This has become concerning, but their performance numbers remain very good.

Despite their shaky record against other elite teams, Dplus KIA are very efficient in beating lesser squads. LoL betting sites are paying $1.68 for the favourites to sweep, and it is an easy bet to take.

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BNK FearX won both their LCK 2024 Summer Week 5 matches against T1 and KT Rolster, which was a nice change after a 1-3 run over the third and fourth weeks. Most of their success is thanks to the changed approach to drafting, with FearX now putting their players on comfort picks rather than following what other teams do.

Nongshim RedForce also found some success last weekend when they defeated DRX. But they also looked awkward and did not deserve the 2-0 result.

Nongshim RedForce are the exact opposite of FearX regarding what they want to do with their drafts, which leads to less confident performances. And while there is no quality difference between the two sides, FearX have looked way more comfortable in their recent games.

Esports betting sites are giving Gen.G a 99% implied probability of beating OKSavingsBank BRION. And while there are reasons for it — including Gen. G’s 2-0 sweep of BRION in Week 2 — the kill lines on this fixture have reached an absurd number.

Gen.G have averaged 15.6 kills and 8.2 deaths per game this split, which are much better figures than OKSavingsBank BRION’s 9.9 kills and 15.3 deaths. Still, those stats do not show that BRION are feisty underdogs, which they proved last week against Kwangdong Freecs and, to some extent, against Dplus KIA.

There is no reason to believe Gen.G can ever lose this series under normal circumstances, but it’s also unlikely that Gen.G can win with over 11 kills to spare on BRION’s map pick.

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T1 won the 2024 Esports World Cup LoL tournament over the weekend. That’s an impressive accomplishment, but there’s one thing to consider.

The reigning world champions have not had a chance to rest since March and now have just a couple of days to travel back home and play their seventh game of the LoL Champions Korea 2024 Summer split. So, some fatigue should set in, making T1 more vulnerable to upsets.

OKSavingsBank BRION are 0-6 this split, which looks far worse than it is. BRION have posted a few solid games; they should’ve beaten KT Rolster, and they didn’t look too bad in their 0-2 loss to FearX last round either.

Even though OKSavingsBank BRION are rightly underdogs, they’re known as ‘giants killers’ for a reason and are now set to face a jet-lagged T1, who should be less effective than expected.

KT Rolster are priced as $1.21 favourites to defeat Nongshim RedForce with the best esports betting sites, which looks too short.

Regardless of their individual talent, KT Rolster are a very inconsistent team. This was evident in LCK 2024 Summer Week 3, when KT Rolster nearly lost against OKSavingsBank BRION but managed to upset T1.

Nongshim RedForce are 1-5 with just one victory against DRX. In their defence, RedForce had to play FearX, T1, Kwangdong Freecs, Dplus KIA, and Hanwha Life Esports — which is a tough schedule, especially for a team of this calibre.

KT Rolster should be winning games like this, but their lack of consistency makes backing the outsiders a more appealing choice.

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Kwangdong Freecs picked up two important victories against KT Rolster and OKSavingsBank BRION last week. They needed all three maps to defeat BRION and looked very questionable on Map 2, but Kwangdong were dominant on the first and third maps.

Nongshim RedForce have yet to taste victory this split, and according to the esports betting sites, they’re unlikely to get their name on the board on Wednesday. They had a shaky showing against FearX on the opening day and failed to accomplish much in their game against T1.

RedForce had their moments against T1 and held on relatively well. And while most of it had to do with T1’s sloppy plays, Nongshim showed they’re not afraid to fight.

Kwangdong Freecs are the better team, but they seem a bit inconsistent and won’t have side choice for this series. The favourites should win, but we like Nongshim RedForce with a map advantage.

After sweeping Nongshim RedForce in their opening match of LoL Champions Korea 2024 Summer, T1 suffered their third head-to-head defeat against Gen.G this season. The game ended in two maps, but the score doesn’t tell the whole story.

Both maps were extremely close to ending in T1’s favour — especially the second map, where Lee “Gumayusi” Min-hyeong was a couple of auto attacks away from closing out the game. That’s not to say Gen.G are weaker than T1, but rather that T1 are much closer to the Mid-Season Invitational 2024 champions than it might seem.

Dplus KIA have been doing well this split. They needed three maps to make it past Hanwha Life Esports and KT Rolster, which isn’t something to celebrate too much; however, they are in excellent form and look capable of causing problems for any team they face.

Dplus KIA are slowly creeping into the elite few LCK teams, and they’ll get there if they can keep up the pace. Although still weaker than T1, Dplus have shown great things last split and early into LCK 2024 Summer, which makes it easy to believe we’ll see a competitive series.

Esports betting tips

After beating DRX in the first match of LCK 2024 Spring Week 8, Gen.G are guaranteed to win the regular season, so this match is nothing more than a formality for them. The same applies to OKSavingsBank BRION, who will not reach the playoffs this split.

Games like this often lead to unexpected results. The teams aren’t playing for anything, and both squads can approach the series a bit more relaxed. Gen.G will also likely experiment with new compositions in preparation for the playoffs.

League of Legends betting sites have Gen.G priced at $1.02, which would be a fair price if this was an important game, but it’s not. So even though Gen.G would smash BRION under normal circumstances, it’s difficult to pass on the underdogs to take a map.

Nongshim RedForce are 3-14 and guaranteed to miss the LCK 2024 Spring playoffs. FearX, on the other hand, are still in a losing race against Kwangdong Freecs.

With a LCK 2024 Spring playoffs ticket on the line, FearX have the extra boost needed to perform better. We’ve already seen them outperform expectations with strong performances against Dplus KIA, DRX, and Kwangdong Freecs over the last two weeks.

It is risky to bet against a team with nothing to lose and in a spot where they can afford to pull out something unexpected. But FearX, as weak as they’ve been throughout most of the split, are still a tier above Nongshim RedForce.

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DRX enters the 2024 League of Legends season with four new players. That includes ADC Park “Teddy” Jin-seong and top laner Kim “Rascal” Kwang-hee as two new signees, and jungler Bae “Sponge” Young-jun and mid laner Song “SeTab” Kyeong-jin, who were promoted from the DRX Challengers roster.

The new-look line-up is not good enough to compete for a strong finish in the LCK. However, DRX can be a solid mid-table team if the two academy players quickly adapt to playing at the highest level.

Nongshim RedForce has kept most of the 2023 core intact, which isn’t too shocking. Even though Red Force failed to accomplish much during the 2023 summer split, the roster was assembled from younger players who spent the last year developing. Better results will be expected in 2024, but it’s hard to feel overly optimistic about how high Nongshim RedForce can fly.

Both teams enter the 2024 season with question marks, mainly revolving around the younger players and new faces. Considering all the changes in the league’s 14th season, it’s fair to expect a more volatile game.

Gen.G were the best team in the LCK in 2023, and even with all the changes they’ve made ahead of the next season, Gen.G will likely remain one of the top contenders. However, it’s easy to see why LoL betting sites have T1 priced as favourites.

T1 won the 2023 League of Legends World Championship and hasn’t made any changes to their line-up. This doesn’t guarantee that T1 will be as dominant in the LCK 2024 spring split, but there’s no questioning their quality.

Gen.G doesn’t lack talented players, and it wouldn’t be the most shocking thing to see them overtake T1 by the end of the season. But since Gen.G signed four new players in November, we can expect an adaptation period and shakier results early on.

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T1 enter their penultimate match of the LCK 2023 Summer regular season on a five-game losing streak, with defeats against KT Rolster (0-2), DRX (1-2), OKSavingsBank BRION (1-2), Hanwha Life Esports (0-2), and Dplus KIA (0-2). And still, they’re short-priced favourites to defeat Kwangdong Freecs.

This is mainly due to T1’s brand value and the fact that they field some of the best players in the league. But that hasn’t helped them accomplish much over the last two weeks, so why would it matter here?

That being said, Kwangdong Freecs have struggled even more than T1. KDF haven’t won a game since Week 4 of LCK 2023 Summer, which translates to eight straight losses and a 2-16 map record.

Since this is still a match between two struggling teams, it’s easy to make an argument in Kwangdong Freecs’ favour, but we would need a much better price to back the worst-performing team in the league. Even though it’s hard to feel optimistic about T1, they’re a good bet to sweep at $2.10 with LCK betting sites.

Dplus KIA head into the final week of the LCK 2023 Summer regular season as the same team we’ve known for this entire split – they’re extremely good at crushing weaker teams but can’t seem to figure out how to defeat the top dogs. This, however, comes with an asterisk.

On Sunday, Dplus KIA played a highly competitive game against Gen.G (0-2), and they came very close to winning the series. It was a frustrating loss, but it wasn’t a bad beat, demonstrating that Dplus KIA can dance with LCK’s top squads.

Nongshim RedForce enter this match desperately needing to win the next two games to overtake Liiv SANDBOX and lock a spot in the playoffs. But with Dplus KIA and KT Rolster standing in their way, RedForce’s chances to move up from a 5-11 record are slim to none.

Dplus KIA are 10-6 and can’t move up or down the ladder, so they might not care too much about winning on Wednesday. Still, they can’t afford to drop games to teams like RedForce, so even though they might not play at 100%, Dplus KIA should win this easily.

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?Kwangdong Freecs have been a solid team this season, but also not comparable to the elite few. They rank mid-table across most performance metrics and have proven to be very efficient in taking leads when the opportunity presents itself.

However, while Kwangdong Freecs look like an elite team for the first half of their matches, they struggle to close out games, which has been their main weakness and the big reason why KDF are not higher up the LCK ladder.

Gen.G are everything Kwangdong Freecs are and more. Jeong “Chovy” Ji-hoon and co. have yet to lose a game this split (12-0) and have dropped just three maps across 27 played (24-3), which goes to show how dominant Gen.G are. We’re bound to see some regression at one point – the only challenge is to try and figure out when that’ll happen.

Kwangdong Freecs can take a game, but only if Gen.G give them some space, which we know doesn’t happen too often. But at the offered LoL betting odds, and considering KDF have side section, this is a bet worth taking.

?Seeing Nongshim RedForce priced as $3.00 underdogs against DRX is ridiculous, not because Nongshim RedForce are stronger than DRX, but because DRX aren’t that much better. DRX’s stock rose a bit on Sunday when they took a map off KT Rolster (1-2), but that was just one good game in a sea of mediocre showings.

Nongshim RedForce are essentially an LCK Challengers team, which only seems to win games in which their opponents mess up. They’ve not looked too good in their last two outings, but RedForce also had to play Gen.G (0-2) and T1 (0-2), which tells us nothing about their chances of defeating DRX.

Before the two-game slump, Nongshim RedForce swept Liiv SANDBOX (2-0), which is a much better indication of how they can perform against teams of similar calibre.

At the offered betting odds, you have to take Nongshim RedForce. DRX have looked slightly better recently, but they’ve not shown enough to justify being pegged as short-priced favourites.

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