Following their loss against Nemiga Gaming, Forward Gaming is taking on Pavaga Gaming in the Lower Bracket of the LOOT.BET Winter Masters on Friday night.
The loser of this match-up is going home and the winner is going to contest Ninja In Pyjamas in Round 2 of the Lower Bracket.
Surprisingly, Forward Gaming lost against Nemiga Gaming despite the bookies offering an average of $1.25 odds for them to win the best-of-three series.
In Game 1 neither team was took advantage in drafting.
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Forward Gaming did a great job by putting a lot of pressure on the enemy carry, Terrorblade.
However, their inability to control the game and map after the 10-minute mark was turning Terrorblade into a beast by free farming in the Jungle.
Yawar, the position two player, was playing Kunka in that game. He was forced to get an early Black King Bar because enemies had 3 magic damage dealer and also 3 disable heroes.
Nemiga Gaming did a great job in pressuring Forward Gaming while creating space for Terrorblade to farm and split push.
Yawar understood that Terrorblade was strong so he purchased Radiance and could cause the enemies have 17% of missing their attack.
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However, the other core hero from Forward Gaming, Troll Warlock was not purchasing any AOE damage output item, such as Battlefury or Mjolnir. Forward Gaming was forced to call GG when they realised they had no way to stop Terrorblade tearing down their base.
In the game two, Forward Gaming completely out-drafted Nemiga Gaming by picking Phantom Assassin, Sladar and Dazzle.
These three heroes provides a lot of armour reduction and physical damage to the enemies. Although Nemiga Gaming picked Lich to provide armour to the team, but Forward Gaming output damage were too high for Nemiga Gaming.
In the game three, Forward Gaming draft was impressive, having Timbersaw, IO and Gyrocopter in their picks. Nemiga Gaming was not particularly good in their draft, however, the Skywrath Mage carried the game with 16 kills and 16 assists by the end of the game.
Timbersaw had no way to farm or sustain the high magic damage output from Skywrath Mage that game.
Pavaga Gaming lost to Team Empire Faith were having 1-1 score by the end of the game two result in their best-of-three series match but they failed to show up for game three so Team Empire Faith advance into Semifinals.
Judging at their draft in game one and game 2, Pavaga Gaming was heavily depend on Earth Spirit and Dark Seer, they picked them in both games.
This is a good news for Forward Gaming, because banning one of the hero should able to limit their draft a lot easier.
Pavaga Gaming vs. Forward Gaming betting prediction
After analysing the drafting abilities of both teams, we give Forward Gaming a 60% chance to win this match-up.
Considering this is best-of-one series match-up, our recommendation is to go low and bet on Forward Gaming to win the game at better than $1.41 at GG Bet.
]]>After skipping the group stage matches, Ninja in Pyjamas will take on Elements Pro Gaming in the Quarterfinals of the WePlay! Dota 2 Winter Madness tournament.
Ninja In Pyjamas is one of three tier one teams to have enjoyed a direct invite into the tournaments playoffs — Forward Gaming and Team OG being the other two.
Ninja In Pyjamas just finished their game against Alliance a few hours ago, the result being 2-0 in favour of Alliance.
Looking at the draft, neither NIP nor Alliance got themselves an advantage in drafting on game one.
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NIP drafted Monkey King as their last pick because Alliance took two melee heroes as their cores – Dragon Knight and Sladar, and one range hero, Morphing, is a range hero but only with 350 attack range.
Monkey King is a melee carry with 300 attack range, NIP knew that they can secure the laning phase and brought themselves in advantage of net worth in early phase of the game.
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However, Alliance did not let them execute the plan nicely by aggressively putting Chen and Grimstroke roaming all the around the map, crushing Monkey King in the middle lane and zoning out Phantom Assassin from the bottom lane.
Boxi, the position three player from Alliance, played Sladar rushed into enemy high ground to kill Jakiro without any sacrificing at the 23-minute mark. This play ensured the victory for Alliance because NIP knew they messed up badly in the early stage of the game and had no way of killing Morphing or Dragon Knight.
In game 2, NIP drafted Tiny and Beastmaster again. NIP always drafts Tiny in their first three picks because Tiny is a hero that can be put in any position, so Alliance had trouble in figuring out their strategy.
Despite that, Alliance still came out on the top in drafting, having Huskar and Centaur Warchief to control the momentum of the game until Slark had his Shadowblade.
They executed the plan well by putting Rubbick to support Huskar in middle lane so Huskar had bigger advantage in the early phase and purchased Armlet of Mordiggian at the 9-minute mark.
Alliance kept on initiating on NIP once Slark had his Shadowblade at the 14-minute mark. After NIP struggled for another 9 minutes, they called GG because they can only hide in their base and had no way to farm.
Element Pro Gaming successfully beat Team Spirit yesterday as we predicted. They illustrated good draft in all three games played. However, their gameplay and decision making in the game is no way near NIP for now.
Ninja In Pyjamas vs. Elements Pro Gaming betting prediction
After analysing the drafting abilities and their members individual skills of both squads, we give Ninja In Pyjamas a 85% chance to win this match-up.
Our recommendation is to go medium and bet on Ninja In Pyjamas to win the game at better than $1.16 at GG Bet.
We do not recommend to pick Ninja In Pyjamas to win 2-0 in this match because Elements Pro Gaming draft abilities might help them winning 1 game from NIP.
]]>Pavaga Gaming will battle it out against Gambit Esport immediately finishing its match with Team Empire Faith in the 2019 WePlay! Dota 2 Winter Madness.
The scheduling of the match is a disadvantage to Pavaga Gaming because their opponents will have had an opportunity to study their recent drafting form.
Pavaga Gaming has enjoyed a great tournament to this point, earning three wins and only suffering one loss. This squad also achieved six wins in the group stage of the LOOT.BET Winter Masters.
Pavaga Gaming’s biggest achievement in their recent professional form was their victory over NoPangolier on December 31, 2018.
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The Pavaga squad has understood that Sven and Lich are very popular in the meta of latest patch to counter Phantom Assassin because Phantom Assassin deals only physical damage. Building up high armour is always the way to counter this hero.
Pavaga Gaming picked Lich immediately after NoPangolier picked Magnus in the match-up of the group stage. Magnus, is a hero that provides Empower – increasing the base damage of the hero and allowing the buffed hero to speed up his farm.
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Pavaga Gaming had a great sense of drafting because they understand NoPangolier would be picking physical damage dealer to work with Magnus so, securing Lich was the way to counter them.
In their last pick, they also drafted Tidehunter to reduce the physical damage dealt by enemies with his Anchor Smash.
Gambit Esports was lucky enough to advance to the playoffs with one win and three loses.
They are one of the weakest teams in group A and only stayed ahead of Hippomaniacs.
They drafted Anti-Mage and Magnus combo in their match-up against Team Empire Hope. The game was in favour on Gambit Esports, however their inability to execute the plan of creating space for Anti-Mage resulted in them losing the game.
Gambit Esports vs. Pavaga Gaming betting prediction
After running our eye through the drafting abilities and their performance in recent professional matches, we give Pavaga Gaming a 80% chance to win this match-up.
Considering Pavaga Gaming had a match-up against Team Empire Faith before this match-up, our recommendation is to go low and bet on Pavaga Gaming to win the game at better than $1.83 at GG Bet.
]]>Pavaga Gaming will take on Team Empire Faith, one of the weakest teams in the tournament, when they clash on Thursday afternoon in the LOOT.BET Winter Masters.
Pavaga Gaming has proven to be the strongest team in the group stage, staying ahead of Team Spirit and Nemiga Gaming after earning their right to contest in the Quarterfinals.
Team Empire Faith is playing with two stand-ins in this tournament. Dream has replaced Cooman from Team Empire Hope and 633 from Team Espada playing position three and Sayuw from Team Empire Hope is playing position four in this tournament.
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Team Empire Faith is also playing with the same roster they had in the WePlay! Dota 2 Winter Madness. They managed to advance into Playoffs in that tournament, however, they probably are not going to make it through the Quarterfinals because they have low probability to win against NoPangolier.
Looking at their draft in game one against NoPangolier today, NoPangolier out-drafted them with Lich countering the physical damage dealt by Team Empire Faith.
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Looking at the result performed by Pavaga Gaming, we can see a totally different draft where Pavaga Gaming drafted Lich against NoPangolier in group stage of WePlay Dota 2 Winter Madness because they understood that NoPangolier is heavily relying on Phantom Assassin.
Grabbing Lich able to provide armour to the team and increase the sustainability of the core heroes in the team fight.
Pavaga Gaming also last picked Tidehunter to reduce the damage of Phantom Assassin with Anchor Smash – reduce enemy attack damage up to 60% at its maximum level or 85% with level 15 talent.
Pavaga Gaming has been doing their homework on analyse enemies draft before playing against them while we cannot see the same effort being put in by Team Empire Faith.
Team Empire Faith vs. Pavaga Gaming betting prediction
After analysing the drafting abilities and effort of analysing enemies, we give Pavaga Gaming a 60% chance to win this match-up.
Considering Team Empire Faith is having 3 stand-in, our recommendation is to go high and bet on Pavaga Gaming to win the game at better than $1.79 at GG Bet.
]]>Nemiga Gaming will battle it out against Forward Gaming, one of the best teams in the LOOT.BET Winter Masters, in what should be a fascinating Dota 2 affair.
In order of strongest to weakest based off recent performances, some of the great teams in this tournament include Ninja In Pyjamas, Forward Gaming, Alliance, Team Empire Faith.
Nemiga Gaming did surprisingly well and earned themselves the second place along with Team Spirit in the group stage.
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The Nemiga crew even took down Team Spirit in the group stage on December 29, drafting Timbersaw to counter Phantom Assassin, Monkey King, Nature Prophet and Sven.
These four heroes from Team Spirit mostly deal physical damage, with the armour stacking from Timbersaw’s third skill, Reactive Armor, providing him up 25 stacks, and every stack gives him 1.6 armour and 1.6 health point regeneration.
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He can gain up to 40 armours and 40 Health Point regeneration when enemies attack him a lot within a duration of 19 seconds. The only way Team Spirit could damage him in that game was getting Spirit Vessel – reduces HP regeneration and healing by 70% or purchase a Silver Edge to break the passive skill of TImbersaw for a duration of 4 seconds.
However, these were luxury items for Team Spirit in that game, so they were unable to purchase them before Timbersaw went out of control. There was no way to kill Timbersaw with those physical damage dealer line-ups.
Forward Gaming’s most recent professional match-up was on December 8 where they suffered three losses in the group stage of the Megafon Winter Clash against Team Liquid, PSG.LGD and Team Secret. Their opponents are top 5 teams in the world, however their performance on 1 December 2018 against EG was great.
Forward Gaming is one of the best tier one teams in the world. Their formidable draft and proven line-up means they are ready to contest any tier 2 teams.
Forward Gaming vs. Nemiga Gaming betting prediction
After analysing the drafting abilities and most recent performance of both squads, we give Forward Gaming a 60% chance to win this match-up.
Our recommendation is to go medium and bet on Forward Gaming to win the game at better than $1.22 at GG Bet.
]]>Alliance, one of the Master Teams in the LOOT.BET Winter Masters, awaits Element Pro Gaming in the quarter finals.
The Master Teams in this tournament also include Forward Gaming, Ninjas in Pyjamas and Team Empire Faith.
Element, being the weakest team advanced the playoffs with four wins and three losses in the group stage, have their work cut out.
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Alliance’s most recent professional match was on December 18 – around two weeks ago – against Happy Guys in the final of the MegaFon Champions League.
They were extraordinary on that day, delivering the goods with the classic combination of Dazzle and Huskar with support from Sladar.
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These heroes gave Alliance an 80% win probability against Happy Guys and their Anti-Mage, which cannot do anything until he purchases his Manta Style and Battlefury – thus giving Huskar, Sladar and Dazzle the chance to push high ground early in the game.
Element sealed progress to the quarters with their win over Kaipi in final round of matches in the group stage.
Kaipi looked to have the upper hand after drafting Huskar, Anti-Mage and Nature Prophet as their cores, with Huskar’s strength in the laning phase able to provide space to Anti-Mage.
However, Element did well in that game by putting Slark in a comfortable zone until he got his Shadow Blade to join the team fight.
The game ended when Kaipi realise they had no way to comeback from a rampage Slark in enemy team.
Alliance vs. Element Pro Gaming betting predictions
After analysing the drafting abilities and most recent game play of both squads, we give Alliance a 80% chance to win this match-up.
Our recommendation is to go medium and bet on Alliance to win the game at better than $1.25 with GG Bet.
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