100 THIEVES vs DIGNITAS LoL BETTING & MATCH DETAIL

100 Thieves and Dignitas are set to clash on Friday, August 30, in a rematch from the first round of the League of Legends Championship Series (LCS) 2024 Championship. 100T won the last affair, and according to LoL betting sites, the rematch should not end much differently.

Priced at $2.94, Dignitas are given just north of a 34% implied probability of beating 100 Thieves, which, considering how toothless they looked in the first round, makes some sense. However, Dignitas performed uncharacteristically poorly on the day, so things can only go up from here for them.

Performance stats-wise, Dignitas are pretty stable as they have not been smashed that often – except for in the last meeting with 100 Thieves. Yet we have to consider that 100 Thieves did not play well that day and even less so in their 0-3 loss against Team Liquid in the last round.

As proven during the regular season, there is not much to set LCS teams apart quality-wise – excluding the top three in Liquid, FlyQuest and Cloud9, who are a class above. So it is hard to justify siding with 100 Thieves at this number.

Lack of consistency, besides poor macro, are two big things all these bottom LCS teams have in common, so it is wise to consider backing any squad at plus money, especially when we talk about numbers that reach closer to $3.00.

As long as Dignitas don’t collapse again, we should be in for a competitive game and not nearly as one-sided as the offered betting odds suggest.

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NRG have secured two victories this split, and they hardly deserve much more. NRG are one of the worst-performing teams in the league — especially in the early game, with a -1355 gold difference and a -0.5 tower difference at 15 minutes.

Dignitas are 1-4 and on a three-game losing streak, yet they have shown a pulse against stronger opponents. They fumbled against Shopify Rebellion last week and lost 0-2, but the eye test suggests Dignitas are not terrible. Like NRG, they are simply not good.

Despite the difference in win tallies, there are no reasons to believe NRG are stronger than Dignitas. The two LoL esports teams seem very close in quality, so taking Dignitas’ side at plus money makes more sense.

100 Thieves took a map from FlyQuest last week, which might explain the prices offered by LoL betting sites. But FlyQuest aren’t the most consistent team, so we can take 100 Thieves’ success with a grain of salt.

100 Thieves are one of the more volatile teams in the league, and their total kills average per game (27.8) is a good indication of how they like to play. Immortals, meanwhile, are the least bloody team in LCS 2024 Summer (22.6 average kills), mainly due to their ability to keep games fairly stable in the first 15 minutes.

The quality difference between LCS teams outside the top three is marginal enough not to have such strong favourites for any series. As such, it makes very little sense to give Immortals under 35% implied probability to defeat a squad who are just as bad as them.

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Cloud9 are 4-0 after four weeks of LCS 2024 Summer, and based on their performance stats, they’re the best team in the league. Cloud9 still have some things to iron out, but even in their current state, C9 do not seem like they can be stopped by any team not named Team Liquid or FlyQuest.

NRG secured their second consecutive victory of the split on Monday when they defeated Shopify Rebellion. Yet despite the win, NRG performed poorly and displayed no improvement from their past showings.

The market has seemingly caught up with NRG not being a great team, yet even $1.61 for Cloud9 to sweep with top esports betting sites is too generous to pass on. The kill handicap line is set at 8.5 which looks fair, so no play there.

Shopify Rebellion have been abysmal this split. They have not won a single series nor a map over the four games played; however, they showed some good things against NRG in the previous round.

It was a bizarre series that should have ended in Shopify Rebellion’s favour, yet they threw their advantageous positions too often. This is concerning information, but besides the throws, Shopify Rebellion performed well.

Dignitas did well against Team Liquid, but they got sloppy and lost 1-2. In that game and across the preview fixtures, Dignitas have proven to be resilient with some good qualities, but they’re not very good.

At the current price, Shopify Rebellion are expected to win just 29.6% of the time, which is a bit low, assuming they don’t shoot themselves in the foot again. At $1.75, Shopify Rebellion to take a map is an offer we can’t pass on.

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The best esports betting sites have Dignitas priced as $5.75 underdogs for their series against Team Liquid, which is an absurd number.

After only three rounds of play, the only thing we can take from the North American LoL league is that there is no significant difference between most teams. But, more importantly, no team is consistent enough to be considered a good bet as heavy favourites.

Team Liquid are 3-0 with wins against FlyQuest, Shopify Rebellion, and 100 Thieves. On the other side, Dignitas are 2-1 with a close loss against Cloud9, a victory against 100 Thieves, and a 0-2 defeat against FlyQuest before the break. Team Liquid have done better, but not by that much.

Stats-wise, Immortals are an average LCS team with a -98 gold difference per minute (GDM) and 1751 gold per minute (GPM). In contrast, FlyQuest rank first in GPM at +1966 and third in GDM at +207.

FlyQuest are 2-1 after three weeks of play, with a loss against Team Liquid and victories against NRG and Dignitas. They did not look great in either of the two wins, however.

While very talented, FlyQuest have not displayed the consistency needed to be a good bet at this price. Immortals to win a map at plus money is a far more appealing bet, especially considering they’ve had three weeks to prepare for this match.

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Cloud9 have picked up two victories in the opening weeks of LCS 2024 Summer. They had to earn their win against Dignitas in Week 1 but had an easier time beating Immortals on Saturday.

As one of the leading teams on the outright LoL betting markets, Cloud9 deserve respect, but we’re looking at a short price. The LCS is much closer quality-wise than other top LoL esports regions, so even though Cloud9 are the better team, it’s hard to justify these odds.

Shopify Rebellion were crushed by Immortals last week and didn’t show much against Team Liquid on Sunday either. But this is not so much taking the side of the stronger team as it is playing the price.

Cloud9 haven’t been flawless this split, and while they likely win this series, taking the underdogs to keep the first map within nine kills is a much more appealing play.

Dignitas are 1-1 with a loss against Cloud9 in the first week and a fairly convincing 2-0 sweep of 100 Thieves on Saturday. FlyQuest have managed the same record, with a defeat against Team Liquid and a close victory against NRG.

Considering what the two teams have shown so far, it’s surprising to see FlyQuest priced as $1.35 favourites. They’re offside for this series and have not demonstrated the elite-level performances you’d expect from a team with such a price tag.

Long-term, FlyQuest should outperform Dignitas, but there aren’t many reasons not to take the underdogs at over $3.00 with the best LoL betting sites.

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This acquisition follows the departure of head coach Ilias “Enatron” Theodorou after a challenging spring split where Dignitas showed potential but struggled with consistency.

Spica’s journey in the LCS has been marked by significant highs and challenging lows.

As a dynamic young jungler, he made a substantial impact with TSM, helping them secure the 2020 LCS Summer Split title and earning the MVP title in the 2021 LCS Summer Split.

Despite his remarkable individual performances, TSM failed to secure a Worlds spot.

Spica found himself sidelined for the 2024 Spring Split due to recent league downsizing, turning to full-time streaming with FlyQuest during this period.

Dignitas’s decision to bring Spica on board is a strategic move aimed at revitalizing their roster and improving gameplay dynamics.

With the departure of Enatron, the team needed talent and experience.

Spica, known for his aggressive playstyle and deep game understanding, is expected to fill this gap.

Lawrence “Exyu” Xu, the current Dignitas jungler, expressed his surprise at the roster change.

In a post on X, he mentioned that he was told less than two weeks ago that he would be starting for the Summer Split.

nothing in esports is guaranteed

less than 2 weeks ago I was reassured by my gm and head coach that I was a lock for the upcoming LCS split.

we were supposed to start scrims in 4 days and I've just been told I won't be on the roster

not sure what i plan on doing yet 1/2

— eXyu (@lol_eXyu) May 21, 2024

With Spica’s arrival, Exyu has announced his departure from Dignitas and indicated plans to join an NACL team, while also returning to Berkeley in the fall.

Spica’s return to pro play with Dignitas follows his stint with FlyQuest last year.

Despite high expectations due to the presence of LCK imports like Lee “VicLa” Dae-kwang and Lee “Prince” Chae-hwan, FlyQuest underperformed in the 2023 Summer Split, finishing ninth.

Afterward, Spica took a break from competitive play and became a content creator for FlyQuest.

Dignitas’s roster for the summer split now appears significantly strengthened on paper.

The team finished in the top six last split with a lineup considered weak by many, so expectations are higher with these new additions.

Spica joins a team of veterans, including former Golden Guardians player Eric “Licorice” Ritchie and former Cloud9 player Jesper “Zven” Svenningsen, aiming to climb the ranks and challenge the dominance of established teams.

As the LCS gears up for an exciting summer, all eyes will be on Dignitas to see if this new roster, with Spica at its core, can turn potential into performance.

This move marks a critical step in Dignitas’s journey to regain prominence in the LCS landscape.

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Santorin’s remarkable career spans nearly a decade, with a journey that started in 2013.

Although he initially gained recognition in Europe, his career truly took off when he joined the LA LCS in 2014.

Playing alongside iconic names like Bjergsen and Dyrus, Santorin achieved impressive domestic success with TSM and established himself as one of the premier junglers in 2015.

Santorin’s career has seen its fair share of ups and downs, marked by notable highs and lows.

He consistently delivered strong performances, earning him a reputation as one of the top junglers in North America, despite a brief hiatus due to health concerns.

Over time, however, his dominance began to wane. His stint with Dignitas proved particularly challenging and would ultimately be his last professional team.

In 2023, Santorin parted ways with Team Liquid and sought new opportunities.

He joined Dignitas in an attempt to form a “super team” alongside ?rfan ‘Armut’ Tükek and Nicolas ‘Jensen’ Jensen.

Unfortunately, Dignitas fell far short of expectations in the spring of 2023, finishing last with a 3-15 record.

Although they showed improvement in the summer split recording seven wins and 11 losses, they were unable to secure a playoff spot.

After enduring two challenging seasons with Dignitas, Santorin has decided to step away from professional play and shift his focus to full-time streaming.

In his retirement announcement, he expressed heartfelt gratitude to his fans and hoped for their continued support in this new streaming journey.

Santorin’s retirement marks the end of a remarkable 10-year career in professional League of Legends, during which he played for teams such as TSM, FlyQuest, and finally, Dignitas.

While his retirement may have surprised many LCS fans, Santorin’s decision had been brewing for some time.

In his announcement, he opened up about the personal sacrifices and challenges he faced as a professional player, including missing important family events and dealing with health issues.

Like several other retired League pros, Santorin reached a point where he had to choose between his personal life and his professional career.

Despite the lows he encountered in his career, Santorin also enjoyed numerous highlights.

These include competing at the highest level with renowned teams, playing a total of 602 professional games throughout his career, and earning the title of “rookie of the split” when he first entered the North American competitive scene with TSM back in the 2015 LCS season.

Although Santorin won’t be gracing the pro stage anymore, he plans to transition to full-time streaming while continuing to play League and other esports titles, ensuring that fans can still enjoy his presence in the gaming world.

This is bittersweet to write and feels a bit surreal, but I have decided to retire from professional play.

I'll never forget my first year in the LCS at Worlds when Dyrus decided to retire and announce it publicly on stage after we were knocked out. His decision shocked me…

— Lucas Larsen (@Santorin) October 8, 2023

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DIGNITAS vs GOLDEN GUARDIANS LoL BETTING & MATCH DETAILS

The 2023 LCS Championship continues this Friday with Dignitas taking on Golden Guardians in the second round of the lower bracket.

NRG Esports’ upset victories against Team Liquid (3-1) and Golden Guardians (3-1) created chaos in the race for the LCS crown. Because of how weak NRG looked throughout the regular season, Liquid and GG have both been knocked down a tier in the market’s eyes – but that only benefits us.

It’s hard to figure out why Golden Guardians were so bad against NRG last Sunday. The only possible explanation is that GG mentally bombed after choking the first map, where they had a +4k gold difference at 15 minutes. Golden Guardians bounced back in game three, but they didn’t look like themselves after the first map.

For this match, we don’t have to try answering what Dignitas can do, but whether Golden Guardians can bounce back. We know GG are much stronger than Dignitas – we have the head-to-head record (2-0) and performance metrics to confirm it – but there are no guarantees that they’ll show it.

The gap between these two teams is large enough to question why Dignitas are not priced higher than $3.75 with League of Legends betting sites. They’ve accomplished nothing this split, and even their 3-2 victory over TSM in the first round of LCS 2023 Championship was hardly worth celebrating.

As long as Golden Guardians pull themselves together, they should crush Dignitas, but we’ll tame our expectations and take GG to cover the 1.5-map handicap.

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Team Liquid and Golden Guardians enter the final week of the LCS 2023 Summer regular season with a guaranteed spot in the playoffs and are now only playing for seeding. But that doesn’t mean either can afford to put its foot off the gas. Golden Guardians can secure a direct bye into the second round of LCS Championship 2023, whereas Team Liquid are in a tight race for a top-six finish and a ticket for the upper bracket.

Team Liquid have had their moments this split but have proven to be very inconsistent, and the same can be said for Golden Guardians, although to a lesser extent. However, both squads tend to perform well against stronger teams, suggesting that this should be a close game.

There’s not much to separate GG and Team Liquid quality-wise, and they should match up nicely stylistically. But there’s another angle we can approach betting on this game.

There was a noticeable uptick in total kills in the LCS with patch 11.13, so betting on over 27.5 kills is an intriguing choice. Team Liquid and Golden Guardians are two of the bloodiest teams in the league (15.5 and 15.7 average kills per game) and tend to play longer games than most, but the offered line (32.5 minutes) is too high.

FlyQuest showed improvement last week when they crushed Evil Geniuses, but it’s still fair to feel concerned about how much FlyQuest can accomplish. This is a very stacked roster, but lacks synergy, and FlyQuest have already proven that they can lose to anyone.

TSM are the complete opposite, as a team has outperformed everyone’s expectations. TSM don’t field the star players of FlyQuest, but they are well-coached and know how to move around the map. But most importantly, TSM are efficient in punishing sloppy teams.

With the players they have, FlyQuest shouldn’t be losing against TSM or most other teams in the league. But their poor decision-making and sloppy mid-late game will be a huge issue when faced with TSM.

Despite losing four games over the first five weeks, Cloud9 are still the best team in the LCS and the main favourites to win the league. However, despite everything Cloud9 have shown this split, they are not a good bet at the offered LoL betting odds.

Over the last two weeks, Cloud9 have shown some cracks and have proven vulnerable even against lesser teams. That is likely due to Cloud9 experimenting in preparation for the playoffs, or perhaps they’ve lost traction.

NRG Esports are 8-7, which is surprisingly good for their standards, but this is not a very good team because they rely too much on getting kills. NRG also don’t have the talent needed to compete for the top spots, but just like TSM, they’re very good at punishing top teams. Five of their eight wins have come against the strongest teams in the LCS – Cloud9, Team Liquid, Evil Geniuses, and Golden Guardians (twice).

At the offered League of Legends betting odds, backing Cloud9 isn’t a wise choice and expecting them to cover the 7.5-kill handicap is too optimistic since this is a very high number. Underdogs with a 7.5-kill advantage is a better play, but we’re getting more value on the moneyline market.

Dignitas and 100 Thieves are tied at 6-9, two wins above FlyQuest and Immortals, so this is a crucial match for both teams as it will decide which of the two will make the LCS Championship. But even though we can expect them to give their all, picking a favourite is tough.

100 Thieves finished last week with defeats against Immortals and Cloud9 and a win against TSM. But even that victory was not convincing, as it mostly had to do with TSM making a few misplays early and allowing 100T to run away with it.

Dignitas are in a similar spot but didn’t win a single game in LCS 2023 Summer Week 5, with defeats against TSM, NRG Esports, and Immortals. This explains why Dignitas are priced as underdogs for this match, even though they’re not much worse than 100 Thieves.

This match can go both ways, and there’s no telling which. However, we know that Dignitas are the bloodiest team in the league (12.3 kills, 17.3 deaths) and like to force their opponents to either fight or let Dignitas roll them over. So even though 100T are the least-bloody LCS team, Dignitas should dictate the tempo and force a game with plenty of kills on both sides.

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After producing mixed results over the first rounds of the regular season, TSM found traction in Week 4 when they defeated Immortals, NRG Esports, and Golden Guardians, improving their record to 6-6 ahead of LCS 2023 Summer Week 5. Their sudden resurgence isn’t that shocking.

TSM have been playing well but haven’t received much respect from the market. That’s not to say that TSM are a great team or have a realistic chance to win the LCS crown, but they know how to punish sloppy opponents.

Dignitas are tied with TSM at 6-6 but have won just one of their three games against FlyQuest; however, the losses happened against Cloud9 and Evil Geniuses, so Dignitas deserve some slack. Much like TSM, Dignitas have picked up a few wins this split, but they haven’t done anything spectacular.

It’s tough to pick a winner as the teams are qualitatively equal. Still, TSM are in much better shape and have looked better in their recent outings. Perhaps this is a sign of TSM gaining momentum, but they still have much to prove.

Evil Geniuses have done a great job keeping up with Cloud9 in the LCS 2023 Summer regular season title race and legitimately look like the second-best team in the league. They suffered a shock loss on Friday against NRG Esports, but that loss doesn’t take away from EG’s impressive run since the second week of the regular season, which includes wins against 100 Thieves, Dignitas, Immortals, TSM, and Team Liquid.

Golden Guardians are not quite in the same bracket as Evil Geniuses and Cloud9, but they’re not that far behind. With an 8-4 record, GG look poised for at least a top-four finish, and if they can get it together, it’s not beyond the realms of possibility that they secure a direct bye into the second round of the LCS Championship 2023.

But that’s a big “what if”. Golden Guardians are slowly looking more like themselves as the season goes on and have a much higher ceiling than their record suggests. But they’re not quite there yet, and their defeat against TSM on Friday proved it.

Evil Geniuses are better than any other team in the LCS besides Cloud9 and shouldn’t struggle to beat Golden Guardians. GG have the talent to keep it close, but a lot will come down to whether they can contain EG’s explosive early game.

FlyQuest has an impressive bounce-back in the third week of the LCS 2023 Summer regular season but returned to their old ways last week, with defeats against 100 Thieves, Golden Guardians, and Dignitas. What is happening with this team is anyone’s guess, but FlyQuest just can’t seem to get any traction.

NRG Esports are 5-7, but there’s more to this record than meets the eye. Even though NRG Esports aren’t one of the LCS title candidates, they always perform well against top teams. NRG Esports have won five games this split, four of which came against Cloud9, Golden Guardians, Team Liquid, and Evil Geniuses.

FlyQuest defeated NRG Esports two weeks back, but that was during FlyQuest’s sole positive week. And while they might wake up again on Wednesday, it’s tough to justify backing FlyQuest to defeat any team in the league in their current state.

Immortals are by far the worst team in the LCS, and based on what they’ve shown over the last couple of weeks, their situation won’t change anytime soon. Immortals haven’t won or come close to winning a game since the opening week of LCS 2023 Summer and enter this match on a 10-game losing streak.

That’s hardly surprising. Immortals rank bottom-three across all performance metrics, including all gold stats and Baron, Herald, and Dragon control. It doesn’t get much worse than this.

100 Thieves are in a better spot than Immortals, but they’re not very convincing. They still struggle in the early game and lack creativity, which should’ve been addressed by now, but 100T instead cruise on and seem content with being a mediocre team.

As much as we can criticise 100 Thieves, this is still their game to lose, but instead of taking 100 Thieves to win or cover the kill handicap, under 11.5 towers is the best bet for this match. 100T are not a very bloody team, and they aren’t good at demolishing towers (5.2 towers per game) but instead rely on scaling, which should lead to a drawn-out, low-scoring game with sidelanes left relatively untouched.

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